I tested it by swinging wide right, got no bounty, then swung closer to the tower and immediately got bounty.
edit...well hell I went around the spot, no bounty, then walking down the road I got it again out of nowhere.
double edit...and it vanished just like it appeared as I walk down the road.
Active Mod Files:00 Oblivion.esm01 Jog_X_Mod.esm02 All Natural Base.esm [Version 1.0]03 Francesco's Leveled Creatures-Items Mod.esm [Version 4.5bSI]04 Francesco's Optional New Items Add-On.esm [Version 4.5bSI]05 Francesco's Optional New Creatures Add-On.esm [Version 4.5bSI]06 Cobl Main.esm [Version 1.72]07 Qarls_Harvest.esm08 CyrodiilUpgradeResourcePack.esm09 Better Cities Resources.esm0A BetterMusicSystem.esm0B CURP_Controller.esm0C Progress.esm [Version 2.2]0D HorseCombatMaster.esm0E Unofficial Oblivion Patch.esp [Version 3.3.1]0F Oblivion Citadel Door Fix.esp10 DLCShiveringIsles.esp11 Unofficial Shivering Isles Patch.esp [Version 1.4.0]++ RedBag - Fog.esp12 All Natural.esp [Version 1.0]13 All Natural - SI.esp [Version 1.0]14 Immersive Interiors.esp [Version 0.7]15 Immersive Interiors - Lights Addon.esp [Version 0.7]++ Symphony of Violence.esp16 AmbientTownSounds.esp17 Distant Chapel Bells.esp18 Diverse Voices.esp [Version 0.1a]19 All Natural - Real Lights.esp [Version 1.0]1A Cities Alive At Night.esp1B CampfireBehavior.esp [Version 3.0]1C WindowLightingSystem.esp1D 300_Lore_Dialogue_Updated.esp1E BookTrackerOBSE.esp1F ClocksOfCyrodiil.esp20 Chapel Tithe.esp++ Cyrodilic Brandy.esp21 DarNifiedUI Config Addon.esp22 Display Stats.esp [Version 1.2.2]23 Fishing in Cyrodiil.esp24 Inebriation.esp++ Item interchange - Extraction.esp [Version 0.78]25 kuerteeSittableRocks.esp26 P1DseeYouSleep.esp27 Portable Campsite.esp++ P1DseeYouSleep - Portable Campsite.esp28 Purge Cell Buffers - Loading.esp [Version 1.0.0]29 Q - More and Moldy Ingredients v1.1.esp2A Qarls_Harvest.esp2B Qarls_Harvest addon.esp2C Quest Log Manager.esp [Version 1.3]2D SoT_Holiday.esp2E Willful Resistance.esp [Version 4.0]2F Wyverex - Deployable Traps.esp30 Enhanced Economy.esp [Version 4.3.1]31 Crowded Roads Revisited.esp [Version 1.1]32 Crowded Roads Revisited_ChorrolCheydinhal_5.esp33 Crowded Roads Revisited_GoldRoad_10.esp34 Crowded Roads Revisited_GreenRoad_10.esp35 Crowded Roads Revisited_YellowRoad_10.esp36 PTRoamingNPCs.esp37 FF_Real_Thirst.esp38 Choices and Consequences.esp [Version 2.1]39 Duke Patricks - Friendship Ring For Companion Detection.esp [Version 1.8]3A Map Marker Overhaul.esp [Version 3.6]3B Map Marker Overhaul - SI additions.esp [Version 3.5]3C Improved Hotkeys_Extended.esp [Version 1.1]3D DLCHorseArmor.esp3E DLCHorseArmor - Unofficial Patch.esp [Version 1.0.5]3F DLCOrrery.esp40 DLCOrrery - Unofficial Patch.esp [Version 1.0.3]41 DLCVileLair.esp42 DLCVileLair - Unofficial Patch.esp [Version 1.0.5]43 P1DseeYouSleep - DLCVileLair.esp44 DLCMehrunesRazor.esp45 DLCMehrunesRazor - Unofficial Patch.esp [Version 1.0.4]46 DLCSpellTomes.esp++ DLCSpellTomes - Unofficial Patch.esp [Version 1.0.1]++ MaleBodyReplacerV4.esp47 ACCCGR SI.esp++ CM_Better Wine.esp++ FineWeapons.esp++ RustyItems.esp48 WarriorBandages_V2.0.esp49 Thieves Arsenal.esp++ Thieves_Arsenal_Patch_033010.esp4A Slof's Horses Base.esp4B kuerteeHorseCommands.esp4C DLCThievesDen.esp4D DLCThievesDen - Unofficial Patch.esp [Version 1.0.5]4E DLCThievesDen - Unofficial Patch - SSSB.esp [Version 1.0.4]4F Francesco's Optional Files 1.esp50 Francesco's Optional Files 2.esp51 Francesco's Optional Files 4.esp52 Cobl Glue.esp [Version 1.72]53 Cobl Si.esp [Version 1.63]54 FF_Real_Thirst, Cobl.esp++ Cobl Tweaks.esp [Version 1.44]55 Bob's Armory Oblivion.esp56 OBSE-Storms & Sound SI.esp57 Creatures Alive v1.3.esp58 kuerteeWanderingEncounters.esp59 TIE.esp [Version 1.37]5A TIE+Frans NPC Inventory.esp [Version 1.0]5B Lock Bash Omega.esp [Version 1.5]5C Enhanced Quest Roleplaying.esp [Version 2.03]5D cyrodiil transportation network 1.3 wz.esp5E BHC_Expanded.esp [Version 1.2]5F Duke Patricks - Bottle Shoot Archery Practice.esp60 Extended Imperial City Version 1.0.esp61 FuseSnailRacing.esp62 Kragenir's Death Quest.esp63 KDQ - Rural Line Additions.esp64 Corpse_Kvatch.esp65 LetThePeopleDrink.esp [Version 2.5]66 KragenirsDeathQuest-LetThePeopleDrink patch.esp67 Region Revive - Lake Rumare.esp68 TheElderCouncil.esp69 TheElderCouncil_TempleOfTheOne.esp6A TEC_4ERA_Dialog_Filter.esp6B thievery.esp6C thievery - EE patch.esp [Version 4.2]6D Travelers Inns.esp6E VaultsofCyrodiil.esp6F Window Entrances 1.0.esp70 za_bankmod.esp71 DLCBattlehornCastle.esp72 DLCBattlehornCastle - Unofficial Patch.esp [Version 1.0.4]73 BattlehornCastleEnhanced.esp74 Lynges_Thieves_Highway-10256.esp75 DLCFrostcrag.esp76 DLCFrostcrag - Unofficial Patch.esp [Version 1.0.4]77 Knights.esp78 Knights - Unofficial Patch.esp [Version 1.0.9]79 SM Plugin Refurbish(Merged).esp [Version 1.30]7A Choices and Consequences - SM Plugin Refurbish - Orrery.esp [Version 2.0]7B AFK_Weye.esp [Version 2.1.COBL]7C Rumare-AFK_Weye Patch.esp [Version 2.0]7D ElsweyrAnequina.esp7E road+bridges.esp [Version 4.5.7]7F Feldscar.esp [Version 1.0.4]80 Vergayun.esp [Version 1.0.5]81 Faregyl.esp [Version 1.0.10]82 Faregyl+Anequina Patch.esp83 Molapi.esp [Version 1.0]84 xuldarkforest.esp [Version 1.0.5]85 xulStendarrValley.esp [Version 1.2.2]86 xulTheHeath.esp87 XulEntiusGorge.esp88 xulFallenleafEverglade.esp [Version 1.3.1]89 xulColovianHighlands_EV.esp [Version 1.2.1]8A xulChorrolHinterland.esp [Version 1.2.2]8B xulBeachesOfCyrodiilLostCoast.esp [Version 1.6.4]8C KragenirsDeathQuest-LostCoast patch.esp8D xulBravilBarrowfields.esp [Version 1.3.2]8E xulLushWoodlands.esp [Version 1.3]8F xulAncientYews.esp [Version 1.4.3]90 xulAncientRedwoods.esp [Version 1.6]91 xulCloudtopMountains.esp [Version 1.0.3]92 KragenirsDeathQuest-CloudtopMountains patch.esp93 xulArriusCreek.esp [Version 1.1.3]94 xulPatch_AY_AC.esp [Version 1.1]95 xulRollingHills_EV.esp [Version 1.3.2]96 KragenirsDeathQuest-RollingHills patch.esp97 xulPantherRiver.esp98 xulRiverEthe.esp [Version 1.0.2]99 xulBrenaRiverRavine.esp [Version 1.1]9A xulImperialIsle.esp [Version 1.6.5]9B Fuses Snail Racing Unique Landscapes Imperial Isle patch.esp9C RegionReviveLakeRumare-ImperialIsle patch.esp [Version 1.3.3]9D xulBlackwoodForest.esp [Version 1.1.0]9E xulCheydinhalFalls.esp [Version 1.0.1]9F xulAspenWood.esp [Version 1.0.2]A0 xulSkingradOutskirts.esp [Version 1.0.1]A1 xulSnowdale.esp [Version 1.0]A2 NRB4+UL-II+LtPD Patch.esp [Version 3.0.1]A3 bartholm.espA4 bartholm - EE patch.esp [Version 4.2]A5 RR - LTPDPatch.espA6 NRB4+RR Patch.esp [Version 2.1]A7 Harvest [Flora].esp [Version 3.0.0]++ Harvest [Flora] - Shivering Isles.esp [Version 3.0.0]++ Harvest [Flora] - DLCVileLair.esp [Version 3.0.0]A8 Harvest [Flora] - DLCFrostcrag.esp [Version 3.0.0]A9 HUD Status Bars.esp [Version 0.9]AA DecoratorAssistant with OBSE v1.1.espAB DropLitTorchOBSE.esp [Version 2.4]AC DS Storage Sacks.esp [Version 1.21]AD Dungeon Actors Have Torches 1.6 CT.espAE Exterior Actors Have Torches 1.3 CT.espAF GP_Lockpicks.esp [Version 1.5]++ Hurt Me Bad Traps.espB0 ImprovedSoulgems.esp [Version 1.11]B1 kuerteeInventoryIsABackpack.espB2 P1DkeyChain.esp [Version 5.00]B3 PersuasionOverhaul.esp [Version 1.43]B4 ReneerNPCNameMod.espB5 RenCorpseMod.espB6 kuerteeGoldIsAnInventoryItem.espB7 Salmo the Baker, Cobl.esp [Version 3.08]B8 SetsunaDummyTraining.espB9 talkwithyourhands2.espBA Toggleable Quantity Prompt.esp [Version 3.1.1]BB kuerteeAlternativesToDeathAndReload.espBC Enhanced Economy - House prices.esp [Version 1.0]BD Roleplaying Dialogues.espBE Quest Award Leveling.espBF Quest Award Leveling SI.espC0 Alternate Start Revamped.espC1 RealisticFatigue.espC2 RealisticHealth.espC3 Real Injury.espC4 RealisticForceMedium.espC5 ReneerKeyLockMod.espC6 RealSleepExtended.esp [Version 2.5]C7 Duke Patricks - Basic Hypothermia.esp [Version 3.1]C8 Duke Patricks - Nosferatu Class Vampires.esp [Version y]C9 RefScope.esp [Version 2.0.2]CA Syc_AtHomeAlchemy.espCB RshAlchemy.espCC Lightweight Potions.esp [Version 1.1]CD Realistic Sneak for NPCs.esp [Version 1.04]CE StealthOverhaul.espCF ZumbsLockpickingMod - OBSE.espD0 ZumbsLockpickingMod - Hide Difficulty Addon.espD1 RenGuardOverhaul.espD2 sycSHOUT.esp [Version 1.02]D3 kuerteeClothingMatters.espD4 Enhanced Grabbing.esp [Version 0.5]D5 Duke Patricks - Double Arrow Nock Shot.esp [Version 1.5.1a]D6 Deadly Reflex 5 - Timed Block with no damage or durability changes.espD7 DeadlyReflex 5 - Combat Moves.espD8 kuerteeNPCsYield.espD9 Duke Patricks - Near Miss Magic And Arrows Alert The Target.esp [Version 7.1]DA Duke Patricks - Actors Can Miss Now.espDB Duke Patricks - Fresh Kills Now Alert The NPCs.esp [Version 4]DC MM_AlchemyPotions.espDD BFG's Enhanced Armory.espDE Intelligence Overhaul.espDF nGCD.esp++ nGCD Skeleton Key.espE0 ProgressGSD.esp [Version 2.0]E1 ProgressMBSP.esp [Version 2.0]E2 ProgressSBSP.esp [Version 1.0]E3 ProgressRBSP.esp [Version 1.0]E4 ProgressRacial.espE5 ProgressArmorer.esp [Version 1.0]E6 immersive_caves_auto.esp** Let There Be Darkness - Cyrodiil + SI.esp** Let There Be Darkness - Knights.esp** Let There Be Darkness - Mehrunes Razor.esp** Let There Be Darkness - Thieves Den.esp** Let There Be Darkness - The Elder Council.esp** Let There Be Darkness - Thievery.esp** Let There Be Darkness - Elsweyr.esp** Let There Be Darkness - UL Colovian Highlands.esp** Let There Be Darkness - UL Lost Coast.esp** Let There Be Darkness - UL Brena.esp** Let There Be Darkness - UL Blackwood Forest.esp++ Item interchange - Placement.esp [Version 0.78]++ Item interchange - Placement for Frostcrag.esp [Version 0.78]++ Item interchange - Option, Ingredients in Bulk.esp [Version 0.78]E7 Stat Restore.esp++ Cobl Races - Balanced.esp [Version 1.52]E8 MM_TrainingCost2.espE9 Really Immersive Messages.espEA Visual Enchantments LessFire.esp** Enhanced Economy - Soulgems.esp [Version 4.2.2]EB Real Hunger, Cobl.esp [Version 1.6.1]EC MagicDefence.esp++ All Natural - SI Settlements NIW Support.espED ExperienceBasedTraining.esp++ All Natural - Bravil Mages Fix.espEE Region_Revive_-_Lake_Rumare_FuseSnailRacing_Patch.esp** NRB4 Standard Road Record.esp++ Cobl Filter Late MERGE ONLY.esp [Version 1.53]EF Cobl Silent Equip Misc.esp [Version 01]** All Natural - Indoor Weather Filter For Mods.esp [Version 1.0]F0 LandMagicPatch.espF1 Duke Patricks - Combat Archery.esp [Version 3.2]++ Duke Patricks - BASIC Script Effect Silencer.espF2 Bashed Patch, 0.espF3 Colored Map for Elsweyr 1.1.espF4 kuerteeCleanUp.espF5 Oblivion Graphics Extender Support.esp [Version 0.2]