I think we'll hear them being referenced at the very least. Maybe you overhear some synths or commonwealth guys talking about Harkness and his daring escape.
Well i guess you are only partialy correct here, game developers usualy do decide on whats cannon for sequels at least for major decisions unless there is a save import aviable that lets you carry your choices trough directly(which there isnt) so while minor choices from previus games cud be left unexplained and only hinted about i do expect big ones to have a cannon ending if they impact the story of FO4 in any way
BGS leaves things vague all the time, they never made anything official canon afaik.