I've seen plenty of debates on the internet about the civil war, but I'd like to make a thread regarding the opinions of Skyrim's citizens. Which side do the majority of NPCs prefer? While there are citizens who believe in both sides in every hold, I wold like to explore which side holds a majority.

If a majority can then be established, I would like to know by how much that majority had won.

From what we see in-game, it seems pretty even split.

4 Holds Pro Empire

4 Holds Pro Stormcloaks

1 Neutral (Whiterun, though even they're split, see Gray-Manes and Battleborn feud)

Basically this. It's half and half.

In terms of the Holds/Jarls, it's a 50:50 split.

In terms of Skyrim's citizens however, I feel it leans oh so very slightly towards the Imperial side.

I feel the citizens themselves do not care as long as it (The Civil War) ends soon.

Every hold has a potential jarl, potential steward, and potential housecarl for both sides. Therefore, we can cancel them all out. This leads us with the rest of the citizens.

Well, if you can consider Winterhold a hold...It's just four buildings and a college, none of the sides really care about holding it.