I'm beginning to think that people arguing against an immanent announcement aren't motivated by the desire to not see the game but to see us wrong.
This is the internet. Expect rampant, inexplicable and extreme pessimism and faux-despair despite all evidence for optimism and hope.
As for all this, yes, they need to show it being used in commerce (did I get it right?) before the trademark expires or it expires for real. Yes, they have been renewing it for as long as I care to think back, in fact can no longer renew it without publicly showing its intent to use it. Therefore, it would seem an uncharacteristic waste of time and money if they did let it expire.
And "not announced at E3"
DOES NOT mean it won't be shown at E3 after an announcement, nor does it mean it won't be announced in the nearly two months between it and the trademarks expiration. (Circumstantial but important)
AND There is that wonderful timeline floating around. (Circumstantial but important)
There, in a nutshell, is the evidence. Did I miss anything?