I'm convinced that Bethesda would be stupid not to announce this game within the next 12 months.
Why would they be "stupid" not to announce it? They can announce it whenever they please, and will still make the same amount of money from the project. Do you know how many people play TES games? Even if it's not released for another 3 years, the same amount of people will be there on release day to buy it.
@GHE
LOL, released next year? I really, really highly doubt we'll even see an announcement until late this year, there's no way it's coming out 6 months after announcement.