Speculation ≠ guesswork, and guesswork ≠ theory
What is being called "theory" in this thread is nothing more than guesswork. Speculation is taking what we can derive from what has been said by Beth or anyone who works for them, and using that knowledge to try to find the most likely release date and/or other information about the game. That is what this thread is for, presumably. And the "theories" being proposed do not adhere to this procedure. Ergo, I feel they do not belong in this thread.
I fully believe another ES game will come. I feel confident in this because in some way or another, Beth and many of their most prominent members have said that they intend on making it. But I cannot derive from their statements and semblance of a likely release date, so any date I can come up with is pure guesswork. I can apply certain past trends such as the months that they most often use to announce material or the amount of time between each release and subsequent announcement, and from that information I can come up with some conjecture as to when they may release the game, but that is still just guesswork.
My speculation is that another game will come. There are several pieces of evidence to support this belief.
My guess is that it will come in 2012, and be announced sometime in the next 3-9 months. I have no real evidence to support this guess. I just base it off of patterns I see in their past releases and the fact that they are working on something, and that it's been a couple of years since FO3, and the unofficial "potential Elder Scrolls title in 2010" comment from a while back. Based on these things I think it is likely that TES V is in the works and has been for at least two years, probably longer. And if this is the case then I don't see them waiting another year or more before announcing the game unless it is more massive than I expect it to be. Once they announce it I figure there will be a year to a year-and-a-half of waiting time before the release.
Main Entry: speculation
Part of Speech: noun
Definition:
theory, guess
Synonyms: belief, brainwork, cerebration, cogitation, conjecture, consideration, contemplation, deliberation, excogitation, guesstimate,
guesswork, hunch, hypothesis, meditation, opinion, reflection, review, shot, shot in the dark, sneaking suspicion, stab, stab in the dark, studying, supposition, surmise, thinking, thought, weighing
Antonyms: fact, information, reality, truth
That's from the thesarus part of dictionary.com
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