This optimistic-plague is too much, where's Betrayer when you need him?
I just read through this entire thread from the beginning so I'll start from the beginning:
Like another speculator said in the last thread (and the one before that, and the one before that...) gamers have a sufficient amount of logic installed into them so that the announcement of a game will not leave them confused about whether to save money for an unreleased title, or buy a game already released. I personally find this whole 'losing hype' theory, as well as the 'not enough money' theory to be rather ridiculous. This is the situation that the 'not enough money' theory proposes:
Gamer 1: OMG! They just released Fallout: New Vegas, I'm going to save money so that I can buys it in about 1 - 2 months!
After 1 - 2 months...Gamer 1: Yay, I finally have enough money to buy New Vegas!
Gamer 2: Did you hear? TES: V was just announced, and a release date hasn't been set!
Gamer 1: What?! How am I supposed to choose between TES and New Vegas *belated sob*
What our friend 'Gamer 1' doesn't realize, is that it could be another year before TES is released, sufficient time for him to save enough for money for another game. As for the losing hype theory...
Gamer 1: OMG! After half a year of listening about New Vegas (he heard about it 6 months ago) it is finally released, this is the pinnacle moment of my life.
Gamer 2: TES: V just got announced.
Gamer 1: OMGZ! I just forgot all the hype that I've been listening to these last few months :vaultboy:
Gamer 1 shows a level of attention span, not even documented by those with severe mental illnesses (welllll, they probably are documented) perhaps enough for a scenario such as this to happen:
" Oh no! Look at that tsunami! That wave is heading right for us and...oooh a puppy!" :vaultboy:
Now what really would happen should we consider this hype factor to be true, is that the sales of both games will be boosted significantly by the co-hype they can achieve, as one game gets hyped and found out about, games related to it by series, publisher or developer will also benefit from the game e.g. if someone just heard about TES: V and never played a Fallout or TES game before, he will be introduced to both series and consequently sales of both games will go up. In all consideration, co-hype can be a defining factor between a million sales, and two million sales.
As for a relative announcement date, I would assume that an announcement before next March would be appropriate, with a year until release (from the announcement date).
EDIT: At the begininng of the thread NextMasterMind said that Beth stopped making expansions:
"Unfortunately not, BGS has stated that they no longer make expansion packs."
Can anyone confirm or deny this and give a link. Please and thank you.