» Sat May 28, 2011 5:54 am
Here's what I believe: ES V has been in development since shortly after Oblivion was released. There is evidence to support this. While I'm sure this "development" was more planning, story line, some concept art, etc (you know trying to figure out what direction they wanted to take the game), I believe some work was being done. It was probably a small team at the time. I remember years ago, during an interview, Todd mentioned that their team was split up into two teams. One to work on Oblivion expansions and the other to work on Fallout 3. Once Fallout 3 was released, I believe that there was another migration back over to the ESV project. This would make sense as over the past several years, we have seen Beth experience some growth. There is some speuculation here of course, but I think this would be a very practical approach. And looking at certain statements Beth has made, it is obvious they are hard at work on this game and that it has been in development, to some degree at least, for quite some time.
Now it has also been mentioned that since Beth really likes to push the limits of technology when they release a TES game, that this is another reason why they would need several years of development time. Oblivion really pushed the existing hardware, and I fully expect ESV to as well. Todd has mentioned time and time again about his vision for emersion is creating the most realistic game world (within reason) as possible. I don't think we can look at how they've done it in the past to predict the release of ESV. This game is going to be released when the hardware is ready for it. I believe they have completely revamped their game engine for this. Now, looking at what current PC's are doing compared to when Oblivion came out, we might be almost ready for this game. Don't get me wrong, this is obviously not all that goes into their decision, but what I am saying, is that we can't look at the span of years between Morrowind and Oblivion to determine when ESV is likely to be released. Technology doesn't work that way. Also, there is always going to be delays in this industry, which would give Beth even more of a reason to delay an announcement. So, if we are in fact looking at a 2011-2012 release, well, that seems about right. That's 5-6 years between games. And PC's have gotten smok'in fast in the last couple years.
Now, this brings up another issue. What about console gaming? Will Beth try to bring this game at the end of the 360's lifecycle. Or wait for a new console and make it a release title for the next gen consoles. That was the original plan with Oblivion, before the game was delayed. All I can say is that if they release it on this generation's consoles, console gamers will most defintely be missing out. That's a guaranteed fact. We've already seen signs of the consoles age when Fallout 3 was released. However, if the rumors are to be believed, and there will be a new Xbox around 2012. Well, then this timeline of release makes perfect sense.
I realize many of this is speculative, so take it for what it's worth. But based on the information we currently have, I believe there is a very good chance that this is how all of this will play out, especially with the recent focus Beth has placed back onto TES.