» Sat Feb 19, 2011 12:21 am
Here is what I would imagine to happen.
Keep in mind that technological development depends almost entirely on the current political situation. An era of civil war and collapse will yield slow advance focusing almost entirely on war and defense (for example, post roman europe where most advance was in horse breeding, for war horses, sword and other weapon advancement, armor, and castle construction) If you have a few strong powers but they fight a lot you get some pretty swift developments in military technology (that in turn lead to advances in other technology) the best example of this would be the first half of last century. Then if you have a time of relative peace coupled with strong political powers your development tends to go along the lines of convenience -better farming equipment, household conveniences, automobiles, lighting, and so forth.
So now with this in mind, to speculate on the future tech in Tamrial we must first look at the political future. Personally I would say you are going to experience something of a dark age. The empire may well be done for -it may claim to exist, but in reality have little influence beyond the IC as the other kings and counts and all just do whatever they want. In this unstable world, the mages guild will loose much of its power and authority. It won't be able to maintain its power without imperial backing, and may well have retreat to something like a monastic state to avoid collapsing completely. This will result in an explosion in necromancy and hedge-wizardry. In general, everyman technology and quality of life will see a sharp decline, much of what is now will be lost, or at least isolated to certain areas. My guess would be the nords would handle this the best -and become something of raiders attacking the other weakened provinces and petty kings.
Now if this DOESN'T happen, then I would actually say Morrowind may see the most advancement. Why? Well, they just experienced a BIG change. What I am thinking most of is the prohibition of slavery. These guys are used to having free labor, and now that that's gone they are not going to be so keen on doing all this hard work or *paying* people to do it, so morrowind could potentially see a great increase in technology in the future. However, if things go bad there is no reason to believe slavery wouldn't return.
So my theory is that Tamriel 300 years from OBL may well look like tamriel 500 years *before* OBL.