Seeing as how each previous game has set a new standard for the RPG genre upon release, I expect that Skyrim will get GOTY.
Morrowind really nailed down and took "open world" to new heights.
Result = Morrowind was awarded GOTY
Oblivion kept the open world going, and repeated what Morrowind started just with newer hardware and some additional tweaks.
Result = Oblivion was awarded GOTY
Both games were/are so immersive that fans and the rest of the industry and Dev's took applauding notice of what Bethesda did with their series. Thus two games in a row were voted GOTY almost unanimously.
With what we've been told by the Dev's, and seen in screenshots, I expect no less from Skyrim.
bliviongate: