But as much as I want the Creation Kit, and all those mods... With all this new stuff, the game seems very complex, things like the Radiant Story and it's randomization, the streamlined UI which seems impossible to mod properly, the real time dynamic dialogue...
I think, we should prepare ourselves, because the possibility of no modding tools is high this time.
We are either not getting the modding tool, or modding won't be as easy as before...
So? The complexity already stepped up between Morrowind and Oblivion's CS. I don't see why they would even think of not giving us the modding tools. They are known for how moddable their games are, to me that is not even an option. If the complexity goes up than people will just have to learn. Same way they did when Morrowind came out, and same way they did when Oblivion came out. When you open the CS it is full of examples to show you how to do things, and neat tricks that the devs came up with. You have the whole game, all the scripts, all of the dialogue, all of the AI packages, the heightmap, all of the world building, everything right in front of you to learn with. Examples already there.
To me the possibility of no modding tools has been degrading since they first gave us the tools with Morrowind.