So I haven't yet seen solid evidence of a time frame, but I suspect its at least another five years. I have seen theories suggesting before it all happened, but I don't think we would see something that is supposed to be choice heavy with the Institute happen before Fallout 3. Also we are seeing the Brother active in the area, and there was little mention of them in Boston or Mass. during Fallout 3 (besides them going to Pittsburgh, a neighbor).