I'm partial to agree with some of the points DragoonWraith brings up in page 2. many of the issues that Beth had with developing their first nextgen game should hopefully be absent from TES5. Obviously they'll proably introduce new ones. Judging by F3, TES5 will be hoepfully be modable. 50% of those big limitations Ob modders face, are already removed in F3. so lets keep it going in that direction. they've heard us moan, they've heard our heads bang for solutions, and clever modding workarounds. they'll hopefully have things we wished and tried as modders to accomplish with Ob. the whole hair, ear, helmet, facial hair, works in F3. you can use different bodies on races. Alpha sorting seems to work better for me in fallout. and so on. On the whole, it is more intelligently put together
I am a bit over hyped about tes5.
meo said-
believe its already in development. It takes years to make massive game like this. Oblivion was released in March 2006, Fallout, October 2008. If we say conservatively that it takes 3 years (although id go with 4) for Beth to make this kind of game... well you do the math, it means TES5 should be done by the end of 2011.
Next gen consoles are due for 2011/2012, it means that they dont need to be that conservative content wise.
Its takes a few years yes. You have to realize Fallout began some form of developement back somewhere after Bethesda aquired the license for Fallout. Back in 2004 or 5 iirc.
F3 has likely been in some form of developement for maybe a year or 2
before ob was released. Your math is obviously way off.
The team released Ob in 2006. then one year later they released SI in 2007. Which only took the 1 year of actual world building as the years of programing and what not had already been done.
a good year later Fallout was released. With some big tastly in house improvements to the engine and newer nif format.
The studio has grown large. they have a lot more man power.
So 2010- 2011 is still very feasible.
Nextgen consoles are NOT coming in 2011/2012. thats a given. Where you got that estimate is either several years old or just poppycock.
The production values of games have skyrocketed recently. So there is a camp that believes that even when the 8thgen consoles are here, the studios budgets/dev time might be similar to now. and the games will be as well. I can see the logic. even with DX11 and the better hardware. things will probably look a lot like crysis does, even in 3-4 years time. I'm very interested in the next gen of consoles. but by all reputable sources, there porbably won't be one on till 2013- or even 2014.
Two facts, why I do not really think a TES V, released this year, would be a major overhaul of the game engine:
- Tesselation is a major feature in DirectX11 and will be heavily used in this kind of games in the near future,
making open worlds just more accessible to the programmer and enjoyable for gamers. But I dont think gamebryo already updated their engine to DirectX 11
- The current Oblivion engine is still a wonderful partner in terms of advanced gameplay and moding capabilities,
a fully modded oblivion does use nearly every resource of my up-to-date rig. Making this incredible mods obsolete, wouldn't do any benefit to business for bethesda.
Point1- Gmaebryo supports the latest dx11 and shader model and all that jazz. rtfm. It doesn't matter anyway, because TES5
is being developed for the current platforms, ie xb360. and as such will likely not have dx11 support.
point2- I don't understand that. How is that supposed to delay Bethesda trying to get another product out on the, currently good market for them? oblivion uses a fairly outdated engine. and the game itself does have some programming issues. some outdated LOD algorithms, bland shaders... it looks ok. but tbh it is knocking on. especially from what I've seen from F03. While again flawed it is going in the right direction, if you think oblivion, but just better in 50 ways
.
madmole, could you link something that shows that TESV is coming in 2010? cause I'm having a reaaaaaaally hard time believing that
There was a mention of a 2010 release date of TES5 involved with The Infernal City book release. the publisher accidently put something to that effect on their website, and it was quickly removed. or something like that. Needless to say, TES5 may not ship in 2010. But I think it is not far fetched at all. They ARE currently developing it. listen to any recent interview with Todd. Seems they are handeling.